Document Detail

An epidemiological model of spatial coupling for trips longer than the infectious period.
MedLine Citation:
PMID:  23246512     Owner:  NLM     Status:  Publisher    
One of the standard methods of accounting for inter-population disease spread in equation-based epidemiology models is through a transportation operator. Implicit in the use of the transportation operator, however, is an assumption that daily travel volumes are small compared to overall population sizes, an assumption that can break down for modern rates of international travel or local commuter traffic. Alternative types of coupling have been proposed in the limit that trip durations are much shorter than the infectious period. We present an extension of these phenomenological models that relaxes both assumptions. We show that the approach produces more accurate results when assessing the impact of mitigative actions using modern travel volumes.
W Brent Daniel; Nicolas W Hengartner; Michael K Rivera; Dennis R Powell; Timothy N McPherson
Publication Detail:
Type:  JOURNAL ARTICLE     Date:  2012-12-13
Journal Detail:
Title:  Mathematical biosciences     Volume:  -     ISSN:  1879-3134     ISO Abbreviation:  Math Biosci     Publication Date:  2012 Dec 
Date Detail:
Created Date:  2012-12-18     Completed Date:  -     Revised Date:  -    
Medline Journal Info:
Nlm Unique ID:  0103146     Medline TA:  Math Biosci     Country:  -    
Other Details:
Languages:  ENG     Pagination:  -     Citation Subset:  -    
Copyright Information:
Copyright © 2012. Published by Elsevier Inc.
Decision Applications Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory, P.O. Box 1663, Los Alamos NM 87545, 505-667-8682. Electronic address:
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