| Time-dependent predictors in clinical research, performance of a novel method. | |
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MedLine Citation:
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PMID: 20393346 Owner: NLM Status: In-Process |
Abstract/OtherAbstract:
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Individual patients' predictors of survival may change across time, because people may change their lifestyles. Standard statistical methods do not allow adjustments for time-dependent predictors. In the past decade, time-dependent factor analysis has been introduced as a novel approach adequate for the purpose. Using examples from survival studies, we assess the performance of the novel method. SPSS statistical software is used (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL). Cox regression is a major simplification of real life; it assumes that the ratio of the risks of dying in parallel groups is constant over time. It is, therefore, inadequate to analyze, for example, the effect of elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol on survival, because the relative hazard of dying is different in the first, second, and third decades. The time-dependent Cox regression model allowing for nonproportional hazards is applied and provides a better precision than the usual Cox regression (P = 0.117 versus 0.0001). Elevated blood pressure produces the highest risk at the time it is highest. An overall analysis of the effect of blood pressure on survival is not significant, but after adjustment for the periods with highest blood pressures using the segmented time-dependent Cox regression method, blood pressure is a significant predictor of survival (P = 0.04). In a long-term therapeutic study, treatment modality is a significant predictor of survival, but after the inclusion of the time-dependent low-density lipoprotein cholesterol variable, the precision of the estimate improves from a P value of 0.02 to 0.0001. Predictors of survival may change across time, e.g., the effect of smoking, cholesterol, and increased blood pressure in cardiovascular research and patients' frailty in oncology research. Analytical models for survival analysis adjusting such changes are welcome. The time-dependent and segmented time-dependent predictors are adequate for the purpose. The usual multiple Cox regression model can include both time-dependent and time-independent predictors. |
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Authors:
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Joan van de Bosch; Roya Atiqi; Ton J Cleophas |
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Publication Detail:
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Type: Journal Article |
Journal Detail:
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Title: American journal of therapeutics Volume: 17 ISSN: 1536-3686 ISO Abbreviation: Am J Ther Publication Date: 2010 Nov-Dec |
Date Detail:
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Created Date: 2010-11-09 Completed Date: - Revised Date: - |
Medline Journal Info:
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Nlm Unique ID: 9441347 Medline TA: Am J Ther Country: United States |
Other Details:
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Languages: eng Pagination: e202-7 Citation Subset: IM |
Affiliation:
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Department of Medicine, Albert Schweitzer Hospital, Dordrecht, The Netherlands. |
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From MEDLINE®/PubMed®, a database of the U.S. National Library of Medicine
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