| Social contagion, adolescent sexual behavior, and pregnancy: a nonlinear dynamic EMOSA model. | |
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MedLine Citation:
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PMID: 9779754 Owner: NLM Status: MEDLINE |
Abstract/OtherAbstract:
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Nonlinear dynamic modeling has useful developmental applications. The authors introduce this class of models and contrast them with traditional linear models. Epidemic models of the onset of social activities (EMOSA models) are a special case, motivated by J. L. Rodgers and D. C. Rowe's (1993) social contagion theory, which predict the spread of adolescent behaviors like smoking, drinking, delinquency, and sexuality. In this article, a biological outcome, pregnancy, is added to an earlier EMOSA sexuality model. Parameters quantify likelihood of pregnancy for girls of different sexuality statuses. Five different sexuality/pregnancy models compete to explain variance in national prevalence curves. One finding was that, in the context of the authors' simplified model, adolescent girls have an approximately constant probability of pregnancy across age and time since virginity. |
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Authors:
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J L Rodgers; D C Rowe; M Buster |
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Publication Detail:
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Type: Journal Article; Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S. |
Journal Detail:
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Title: Developmental psychology Volume: 34 ISSN: 0012-1649 ISO Abbreviation: Dev Psychol Publication Date: 1998 Sep |
Date Detail:
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Created Date: 1999-01-26 Completed Date: 1999-01-26 Revised Date: 2007-11-14 |
Medline Journal Info:
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Nlm Unique ID: 0260564 Medline TA: Dev Psychol Country: UNITED STATES |
Other Details:
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Languages: eng Pagination: 1096-113 Citation Subset: IM |
Affiliation:
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Department of Psychology, University of Oklahoma, Norman 73019, USA. jrodgers@ou.edu |
Export Citation:
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APA/MLA Format Download EndNote Download BibTex |
| MeSH Terms | |
Descriptor/Qualifier:
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Adolescent Female Humans Imitative Behavior* Infant, Newborn Likelihood Functions Models, Statistical Pregnancy Pregnancy in Adolescence / psychology*, statistics & numerical data Sexual Behavior* Social Conformity* |
| Grant Support | |
ID/Acronym/Agency:
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R01-HD2-1973/HD/NICHD NIH HHS |
| Comments/Corrections | |
Comment In:
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Dev Psychol. 1998 Sep;34(5):1114-6; discussion 1117-8
[PMID:
9779755
]
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From MEDLINE®/PubMed®, a database of the U.S. National Library of Medicine
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