Document Detail

Simulated detection of syndromic classical swine fever on a Finnish pig-breeding farm.
MedLine Citation:
PMID:  17291361     Owner:  NLM     Status:  MEDLINE    
Although Finland has not experienced a classical swine fever (CSF) epidemic since 1917, the concern about early detection is relevant. The time until detection of CSF on a pig-breeding farm was predicted by simulation, and earlier detection of CSF-infected farms was assessed. Eight to 12 weeks will pass before CSF is detected on a Finnish pig-breeding farm, which resembles detection of the index farm for actual CSF epidemics in Europe. Although notification of suspected CSF on the infected farm accelerates detection the most, interventions aimed at promoting investigations of the general health problem noticed on the farm, or a more comprehensive testing of samples currently arriving from pig farms to the investigating laboratory could shorten detection time by 3 weeks. Results are applicable for further simulation of an event of a CSF epidemic in Finland, and for studying contingency options to promote more rapid detection of infectious diseases of swine not found at present in the country.
S M Raulo; T Lyytikäinen
Publication Detail:
Type:  Journal Article; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't    
Journal Detail:
Title:  Epidemiology and infection     Volume:  135     ISSN:  0950-2688     ISO Abbreviation:  Epidemiol. Infect.     Publication Date:  2007 Feb 
Date Detail:
Created Date:  2007-02-12     Completed Date:  2007-11-08     Revised Date:  2013-06-06    
Medline Journal Info:
Nlm Unique ID:  8703737     Medline TA:  Epidemiol Infect     Country:  England    
Other Details:
Languages:  eng     Pagination:  218-27     Citation Subset:  IM    
Department of Risk Assessment, National Veterinary and Food Research Institute, Helsinki, Finland.
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MeSH Terms
Animal Husbandry
Classical Swine Fever / epidemiology*,  transmission*
Classical swine fever virus / pathogenicity
Computer Simulation*
Disease Transmission, Infectious / veterinary*
Finland / epidemiology
Monte Carlo Method*

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