Document Detail


Serum total and non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and the risk prediction of cardiovascular events - the JALS-ECC -.
MedLine Citation:
PMID:  20526038     Owner:  NLM     Status:  MEDLINE    
Abstract/OtherAbstract:
BACKGROUND: Few Japanese studies have compared serum non-high-density lipoprotein (non-HDL) cholesterol with serum total cholesterol as factors for predicting risk of cardiovascular events. Currently, few tools accurately estimate the probability of developing cardiovascular events for the Japanese general population.
METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 22,430 Japanese men and women (aged 40-89 years) without a history of cardiovascular events from 10 community-based cohorts were followed. In an average 7.6-year follow up, 104 individuals experienced acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and 339 experienced stroke. Compared to serum total cholesterol, serum non-HDL cholesterol was more strongly associated with risk of AMI in a dose-response manner (multivariable adjusted incidence rate ratio per 1 SD increment [95% confidence interval] =1.49 [1.24-1.79] and 1.62 [1.35-1.95], respectively). Scoring systems were constructed based on multivariable Poisson regression models for predicting a 5-year probability of developing AMI; the non-HDL cholesterol model was found to have a better predictive ability (area under the receiver operating curve [AUC] =0.825) than the total cholesterol model (AUC =0.815). Neither total nor non-HDL serum cholesterol levels were associated with any stroke subtype.
CONCLUSIONS: The risk of AMI can be more reliably predicted by serum non-HDL cholesterol than serum total cholesterol. The scoring systems are useful tools to predict risk of AMI. Neither total nor non-HDL serum cholesterol can predict stroke risk in the Japanese general population.
Authors:
Naohito Tanabe; Hiroyasu Iso; Katsutoshi Okada; Yasuyuki Nakamura; Akiko Harada; Yasuo Ohashi; Takashi Ando; Hirotsugu Ueshima;
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Publication Detail:
Type:  Journal Article; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't     Date:  2010-06-04
Journal Detail:
Title:  Circulation journal : official journal of the Japanese Circulation Society     Volume:  74     ISSN:  1347-4820     ISO Abbreviation:  Circ. J.     Publication Date:  2010 Jul 
Date Detail:
Created Date:  2010-06-30     Completed Date:  2010-10-19     Revised Date:  2011-02-18    
Medline Journal Info:
Nlm Unique ID:  101137683     Medline TA:  Circ J     Country:  Japan    
Other Details:
Languages:  eng     Pagination:  1346-56     Citation Subset:  IM    
Affiliation:
Division of Health Promotion, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata, Japan. tanabe@med.niigata-u.ac.jp
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MeSH Terms
Descriptor/Qualifier:
Adult
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Area Under Curve
Cardiovascular Diseases / diagnosis*,  epidemiology*
Cholesterol / blood*
Female
Follow-Up Studies
Humans
Incidence
Japan
Male
Middle Aged
Myocardial Infarction / epidemiology
Predictive Value of Tests*
Risk
Stroke / epidemiology
Chemical
Reg. No./Substance:
57-88-5/Cholesterol

From MEDLINE®/PubMed®, a database of the U.S. National Library of Medicine


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