Document Detail


Resource Distribution in Multiple Attacks with Imperfect Detection of the Attack Outcome.
MedLine Citation:
PMID:  21801189     Owner:  NLM     Status:  Publisher    
Abstract/OtherAbstract:
This article extends the previous research of consecutive attacks strategy by assuming that an attacker observes the outcome of each attack imperfectly. With given probabilities it may wrongly identify a destroyed target as undestroyed, and wrongly identify an undestroyed target as destroyed. The outcome of each attack is determined by a contest success function that depends on the amount of resources allocated by the defender and the attacker to each attack. The article suggests a probabilistic model of the multiple attacks and analyzes how the target destruction probability and the attacker's relative resource expenditure are impacted by the two probabilities of incorrect observation, the attacker's and defender's resource ratio, the contest intensity, the number of attacks, and the resource distribution across attacks. We analyze how the attacker chooses the number of attacks, the attack stopping rule, and the optimal resource distribution across attacks to maximize its utility.
Authors:
Gregory Levitin; Kjell Hausken
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Publication Detail:
Type:  JOURNAL ARTICLE     Date:  2011-7-30
Journal Detail:
Title:  Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis     Volume:  -     ISSN:  1539-6924     ISO Abbreviation:  -     Publication Date:  2011 Jul 
Date Detail:
Created Date:  2011-8-1     Completed Date:  -     Revised Date:  -    
Medline Journal Info:
Nlm Unique ID:  8109978     Medline TA:  Risk Anal     Country:  -    
Other Details:
Languages:  ENG     Pagination:  -     Citation Subset:  -    
Copyright Information:
© 2011 Society for Risk Analysis.
Affiliation:
Collaborative Autonomic Computing Laboratory, School of Computer Science, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China. The Israel Electric Corporation Ltd., Haifa 31000, Israel. Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Stavanger, N-4036 Stavanger, Norway.
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