| Reexamining the Dominance of Birth Cohort Effects on Mortality. | |
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MedLine Citation:
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PMID: 20734557 Owner: HMD Status: MEDLINE |
Abstract/OtherAbstract:
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The association between birth cohort and subsequent mortality has been of interest especially following publication of studies around 1930 of cohorts born up to the latter part of the nineteenth century, particularly for England and Wales. Updated results are presented for this population, together with those for two other cohorts, twentieth-century Japanese and British populations born about 1930, which have been identified as having particularly clear-cut birth cohort patterns, and which are used to underpin incorporation of cohort effects in both British official and actuarial mortality forecasts. Graphical methods used to identify cohort patterns are discussed. A number of limitations and difficulties are identified that mean that the conclusions about the predominance of cohort effects are less robust than often assumed. It is argued that alternative explanations should be considered and that the concentration on birth cohorts with particularly advantaged patterns may distort research priorities. |
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Authors:
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Michael Murphy |
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Publication Detail:
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Type: Historical Article; Journal Article |
Journal Detail:
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Title: Population and development review Volume: 36 ISSN: 0098-7921 ISO Abbreviation: Popul Dev Rev Publication Date: 2010 |
Date Detail:
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Created Date: 2010-08-24 Completed Date: 2010-09-30 Revised Date: 2011-07-11 |
Medline Journal Info:
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Nlm Unique ID: 7613927 Medline TA: Popul Dev Rev Country: United States |
Other Details:
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Languages: eng Pagination: 365-90 Citation Subset: Q |
Affiliation:
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Professor of Demography, Department of Social Policy, London School of Economics. |
Export Citation:
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APA/MLA Format Download EndNote Download BibTex |
| MeSH Terms | |
Descriptor/Qualifier:
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Actuarial Analysis
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economics,
history,
psychology Birth Rate* / ethnology Cohort Effect* Cohort Studies Cultural Characteristics* Demography Great Britain / ethnology History, 19th Century History, 20th Century History, 21st Century Japan / ethnology Mortality* / ethnology, history Population Dynamics* Social Change / history Social Conditions* / economics, history, legislation & jurisprudence |
From MEDLINE®/PubMed®, a database of the U.S. National Library of Medicine
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