Document Detail

Reexamining the Dominance of Birth Cohort Effects on Mortality.
MedLine Citation:
PMID:  20734557     Owner:  HMD     Status:  MEDLINE    
The association between birth cohort and subsequent mortality has been of interest especially following publication of studies around 1930 of cohorts born up to the latter part of the nineteenth century, particularly for England and Wales. Updated results are presented for this population, together with those for two other cohorts, twentieth-century Japanese and British populations born about 1930, which have been identified as having particularly clear-cut birth cohort patterns, and which are used to underpin incorporation of cohort effects in both British official and actuarial mortality forecasts. Graphical methods used to identify cohort patterns are discussed. A number of limitations and difficulties are identified that mean that the conclusions about the predominance of cohort effects are less robust than often assumed. It is argued that alternative explanations should be considered and that the concentration on birth cohorts with particularly advantaged patterns may distort research priorities.
Michael Murphy
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Publication Detail:
Type:  Historical Article; Journal Article    
Journal Detail:
Title:  Population and development review     Volume:  36     ISSN:  0098-7921     ISO Abbreviation:  Popul Dev Rev     Publication Date:  2010  
Date Detail:
Created Date:  2010-08-24     Completed Date:  2010-09-30     Revised Date:  2011-07-11    
Medline Journal Info:
Nlm Unique ID:  7613927     Medline TA:  Popul Dev Rev     Country:  United States    
Other Details:
Languages:  eng     Pagination:  365-90     Citation Subset:  Q    
Professor of Demography, Department of Social Policy, London School of Economics.
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MeSH Terms
Actuarial Analysis / economics,  history,  psychology
Birth Rate* / ethnology
Cohort Effect*
Cohort Studies
Cultural Characteristics*
Great Britain / ethnology
History, 19th Century
History, 20th Century
History, 21st Century
Japan / ethnology
Mortality* / ethnology,  history
Population Dynamics*
Social Change / history
Social Conditions* / economics,  history,  legislation & jurisprudence

From MEDLINE®/PubMed®, a database of the U.S. National Library of Medicine

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