Document Detail


Predicting end-of-life in patients with an exacerbation of COPD by routine clinical assessment.
MedLine Citation:
PMID:  20537518     Owner:  NLM     Status:  MEDLINE    
Abstract/OtherAbstract:
METHODS: In a case-crossover study the case records of AECOPD related deaths were reviewed. Clinical and laboratory variables including performance status (WHO-PS) and a composite physiological score (early warning score, EWS) at initial clinical assessment on final admission (FA) and penultimate admission (PA) for AECOPD were compared.
RESULTS: Sixty patients included in study, female 60%, mean age (SD) 75 (8.7) years. 98% had ≥2 admissions for AECOPD. On univariate analysis variables associated with death were: Charlson score, WHO-PS, EWS, pH<7.35, Urea and CRP. On multivariate analysis predictors of mortality were: WHO-PS (OR 95% CI: 4.9 (1.06-22.61); p=0.04) and EWS (OR 95% CI: 3.39 (1.56-7.41); p=0.002). ROC analysis of relationship between combined WHO-PS/EWS score and death gave AUC 0.86; a total score≥6 had sensitivity 78% and specificity 86.2% and on multivariate analysis OR (95% CI) for death was 19.3 (4.3-86.2); p<0.0005.
CONCLUSION: In-hospital deaths from AECOPD may be predicted by assessment of WHO-PS and EWS on admission to hospital.
Authors:
Stephen A Murphy; Helmy Haja Mydin; Saman Fatah; George Antunes
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Publication Detail:
Type:  Journal Article    
Journal Detail:
Title:  Respiratory medicine     Volume:  104     ISSN:  1532-3064     ISO Abbreviation:  Respir Med     Publication Date:  2010 Nov 
Date Detail:
Created Date:  2010-09-27     Completed Date:  2011-02-22     Revised Date:  2011-04-06    
Medline Journal Info:
Nlm Unique ID:  8908438     Medline TA:  Respir Med     Country:  England    
Other Details:
Languages:  eng     Pagination:  1668-74     Citation Subset:  IM    
Copyright Information:
Copyright © 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Affiliation:
University Hospital of Hartlepool, Hartlepool, UK. murphsa@clevelandchestclinic.com
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MeSH Terms
Descriptor/Qualifier:
Aged
Disease Progression
Female
Great Britain / epidemiology
Hospital Mortality / trends*
Humans
Life Expectancy / trends
Male
Patient Discharge / statistics & numerical data
Prognosis
Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive / epidemiology,  mortality*,  physiopathology
ROC Curve
Respiratory Insufficiency / epidemiology,  mortality*,  physiopathology
Risk Factors

From MEDLINE®/PubMed®, a database of the U.S. National Library of Medicine


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