Document Detail

Predicted climate changes for the years to come and implications for disease impact studies.
MedLine Citation:
PMID:  18819662     Owner:  NLM     Status:  MEDLINE    
The paper presents a review of the current ability of the climate modelling community to produce predictions of future climate change. Predictions for the next few decades are reasonably robust, whereas predictions for later time periods depend on uncertainties in climate model structure and on the unknown future course of greenhouse gas emissions. Some regional features are noticeable; however, meaningful interpretation of these can only presently be made at spatial scales that are considerably larger than those required for making sound estimates of the effects of future climate change on animal health. The implication is that current climate change predictions should be considered indicative rather than accurate.
D A Stone
Publication Detail:
Type:  Journal Article; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't; Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.; Review    
Journal Detail:
Title:  Revue scientifique et technique (International Office of Epizootics)     Volume:  27     ISSN:  0253-1933     ISO Abbreviation:  Rev. - Off. Int. Epizoot.     Publication Date:  2008 Aug 
Date Detail:
Created Date:  2008-09-29     Completed Date:  2008-11-03     Revised Date:  2008-11-21    
Medline Journal Info:
Nlm Unique ID:  8712301     Medline TA:  Rev Sci Tech     Country:  France    
Other Details:
Languages:  eng     Pagination:  319-30     Citation Subset:  IM    
Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics, Department of Physics, University of Oxford, Clarendon Laboratory, Oxford, United Kingdom.
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MeSH Terms
Animal Diseases / epidemiology*,  prevention & control
Computer Simulation
Greenhouse Effect*
Models, Theoretical*
Predictive Value of Tests
Time Factors

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