Document Detail

Performance of the traditional age, sex, and angina typicality-based approach for estimating pretest probability of angiographically significant coronary artery disease in patients undergoing coronary computed tomographic angiography: results from the multinational coronary CT angiography evaluation for clinical outcomes: an international multicenter registry (CONFIRM).
MedLine Citation:
PMID:  22025600     Owner:  NLM     Status:  MEDLINE    
BACKGROUND: Guidelines for the management of patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD) rely on the age, sex, and angina typicality-based pretest probabilities of angiographically significant CAD derived from invasive coronary angiography (guideline probabilities). Reliability of guideline probabilities has not been investigated in patients referred to noninvasive CAD testing.
METHODS AND RESULTS: We identified 14048 consecutive patients with suspected CAD who underwent coronary computed tomographic angiography. Angina typicality was recorded with the use of accepted criteria. Pretest likelihoods of CAD with ≥ 50 diameter stenosis (CAD50) and ≥ 70 diameter stenosis (CAD70) were calculated from guideline probabilities. Computed tomographic angiography images were evaluated by ≥ 1 expert reader to determine the presence of CAD50 and CAD70. Typical angina was associated with the highest prevalence of CAD50 (40 in men, 19 in women) and CAD70 (27 men, 11 women) compared with other symptom categories (P<0.001 for all). Observed CAD50 and CAD70 prevalences were substantially lower than those predicted by guideline probabilities in the overall population (18 versus 51 for CAD50, 10 versus 42 for CAD70; P<0.001), driven by pronounced differences in patients with atypical angina (15 versus 47 for CAD50, 7 versus 37 for CAD70) and typical angina (29 versus 86 for CAD50, 19 versus 71 for CAD70). Marked overestimation of disease prevalence by guideline probabilities was found at all participating centers and across all sex and age subgroups.
CONCLUSION: In this multinational study of patients referred for coronary computed tomographic angiography, determination of pretest likelihood of angiographically significant CAD by the invasive angiography-based guideline probabilities greatly overestimates the actual prevalence of disease.
Victor Y Cheng; Daniel S Berman; Alan Rozanski; Allison M Dunning; Stephan Achenbach; Mouaz Al-Mallah; Matthew J Budoff; Filippo Cademartiri; Tracy Q Callister; Hyuk-Jae Chang; Kavitha Chinnaiyan; Benjamin J W Chow; Augustin Delago; Millie Gomez; Martin Hadamitzky; Jörg Hausleiter; Ronald P Karlsberg; Philipp Kaufmann; Fay Y Lin; Erica Maffei; Gilbert L Raff; Todd C Villines; Leslee J Shaw; James K Min
Publication Detail:
Type:  Evaluation Studies; Journal Article; Multicenter Study; Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural     Date:  2011-10-24
Journal Detail:
Title:  Circulation     Volume:  124     ISSN:  1524-4539     ISO Abbreviation:  Circulation     Publication Date:  2011 Nov 
Date Detail:
Created Date:  2011-11-29     Completed Date:  2012-01-26     Revised Date:  2014-09-08    
Medline Journal Info:
Nlm Unique ID:  0147763     Medline TA:  Circulation     Country:  United States    
Other Details:
Languages:  eng     Pagination:  2423-32, 1-8     Citation Subset:  AIM; IM    
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MeSH Terms
Age Factors
Angina Pectoris / etiology
Coronary Angiography / methods,  standards*
Coronary Artery Disease / complications,  epidemiology*,  radiography*
Guidelines as Topic / standards*
International Cooperation*
Middle Aged
Multidetector Computed Tomography / methods,  standards*
Reproducibility of Results
Sex Factors
Grant Support
1K23HL107458-01/HL/NHLBI NIH HHS; K23 HL107458/HL/NHLBI NIH HHS; K23 HL107458-01/HL/NHLBI NIH HHS
Comment In:
Circulation. 2011 Nov 29;124(22):2377-9   [PMID:  22125189 ]
Rev Cardiovasc Med. 2012;13(4):e210-3   [PMID:  23847794 ]

From MEDLINE®/PubMed®, a database of the U.S. National Library of Medicine

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