| Perceptions of risk, risk aversion, and barriers to adoption of decision support systems and integrated pest management: an introduction. | |
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MedLine Citation:
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PMID: 21117876 Owner: NLM Status: In-Data-Review |
Abstract/OtherAbstract:
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ABSTRACT Rational management of plant diseases, both economically and environmentally, involves assessing risks and the costs associated with both correct and incorrect tactical management decisions to determine when control measures are warranted. Decision support systems can help to inform users of plant disease risk and thus assist in accurately targeting events critical for management. However, in many instances adoption of these systems for use in routine disease management has been perceived as slow. The under-utilization of some decision support systems is likely due to both technical and perception constraints that have not been addressed adequately during development and implementation phases. Growers' perceptions of risk and their aversion to these perceived risks can be reasons for the "slow" uptake of decision support systems and, more broadly, integrated pest management (IPM). Decision theory provides some tools that may assist in quantifying and incorporating subjective and/or measured probabilities of disease occurrence or crop loss into decision support systems. Incorporation of subjective probabilities into IPM recommendations may be one means to reduce grower uncertainty and improve trust of these systems because management recommendations could be explicitly informed by growers' perceptions of risk and economic utility. Ultimately though, we suggest that an appropriate measure of the value and impact of decision support systems is grower education that enables more skillful and informed management decisions independent of consultation of the support tool outputs. |
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Authors:
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David H Gent; Erick De Wolf; Sarah J Pethybridge |
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Publication Detail:
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Type: Journal Article |
Journal Detail:
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Title: Phytopathology Volume: 101 ISSN: 0031-949X ISO Abbreviation: Phytopathology Publication Date: 2011 Jun |
Date Detail:
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Created Date: 2011-05-12 Completed Date: - Revised Date: - |
Medline Journal Info:
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Nlm Unique ID: 9427222 Medline TA: Phytopathology Country: United States |
Other Details:
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Languages: eng Pagination: 640-3 Citation Subset: IM |
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From MEDLINE®/PubMed®, a database of the U.S. National Library of Medicine
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