Document Detail

Ordinary people do not ignore base rates.
MedLine Citation:
PMID:  17963549     Owner:  NLM     Status:  In-Data-Review    
Human responses to probabilities can be studied through gambling and through experiments presenting biased sequences of stimuli. In both cases, participants are sensitive to base rates. They adjust automatically to changes in base rate; such adjustment is incompatible with conformity to Bayes' Theorem. "Base-rate neglect" is therefore specific to the exercises in mental arithmetic reviewed in the target article.
Donald Laming
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Publication Detail:
Type:  Journal Article    
Journal Detail:
Title:  The Behavioral and brain sciences     Volume:  30     ISSN:  0140-525X     ISO Abbreviation:  -     Publication Date:  2007 Jun 
Date Detail:
Created Date:  2007-10-29     Completed Date:  -     Revised Date:  -    
Medline Journal Info:
Nlm Unique ID:  7808666     Medline TA:  Behav Brain Sci     Country:  England    
Other Details:
Languages:  eng     Pagination:  272-4     Citation Subset:  IM    
University of Cambridge, Department of Experimental Psychology, Downing Street, Cambridge, CB2 3EB, United Kingdom.
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