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Nonsignificance Plus High Power Does Not Imply Support for the Null Over the Alternative.
MedLine Citation:
PMID:  22391267     Owner:  NLM     Status:  Publisher    
Abstract/OtherAbstract:
This article summarizes arguments against the use of power to analyze data, and illustrates a key pitfall: Lack of statistical significance (e.g., P > .05) combined with high power (e.g., 90%) can occur even if the data support the alternative more than the null. This problem arises via selective choice of parameters at which power is calculated, but can also arise if one computes power at a prespecified alternative. As noted by earlier authors, power computed using sample estimates ("observed power") replaces this problem with even more counterintuitive behavior, because observed power effectively double counts the data and increases as the P value declines. Use of power to analyze and interpret data thus needs more extensive discouragement.
Authors:
Sander Greenland
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Publication Detail:
Type:  JOURNAL ARTICLE     Date:  2012-3-3
Journal Detail:
Title:  Annals of epidemiology     Volume:  -     ISSN:  1873-2585     ISO Abbreviation:  -     Publication Date:  2012 Mar 
Date Detail:
Created Date:  2012-3-6     Completed Date:  -     Revised Date:  -    
Medline Journal Info:
Nlm Unique ID:  9100013     Medline TA:  Ann Epidemiol     Country:  -    
Other Details:
Languages:  ENG     Pagination:  -     Citation Subset:  -    
Copyright Information:
Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Affiliation:
Department of Epidemiology and Department of Statistics, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA.
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