Document Detail


Mortality indicators among chronic Chagas patients living in an endemic area.
MedLine Citation:
PMID:  19336269     Owner:  NLM     Status:  MEDLINE    
Abstract/OtherAbstract:
BACKGROUND: Chagas disease is a serious social-medical problem in Latin American countries because of its high incidence, morbidity and mortality. Our aim was to identify, from demographic, personal history, clinical and electrocardiographic variables, those that might have independent prognostic value regarding mortality, among a population of chronic Chagas patients from a single endemic area where vector transmission has been halted.
METHODS AND RESULTS: Over a mean of 18.5 years, we followed up a prospective cohort of 120 individuals with chronic Chagas disease. Twenty dichotomous variables with prognostic potential for chronic Chagas disease patients were initially evaluated using the Cox model (univariable analysis), to calculate the proportional mortality risk from all causes, cardiovascular causes and sudden death, relative to each variable separately. Of these, 12 variables presenting statistical significance (p<0.05) were included in a multivariable model to determine which of them would have independent prognostic value regarding mortality. Over the follow-up, there were 42 deaths. Eight variables were proven to be independent prognostic factors for mortality, in relation to the three types of death analysed: age ≥39 years, black skin colour, high-degree right-branch block, anterosuperior division block of the left branch, high-degree right-branch block associated with anterosuperior division block of the left branch, high-degree left-branch block, polymorphic ventricular extrasystoles and PR interval ≥0.16 s.
CONCLUSIONS: The presence on conventional electrocardiograms of polymorphic ventricular extrasystoles or high-degree left-branch block, among a population of chronic Chagas patients, constitutes the most important independent factor for poor prognosis.
Authors:
José Geraldo Ferreira Gonçalves; Valdo José Dias Silva; Maria Cândida Calzada Borges; Aluízio Prata; Dalmo Correia
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Publication Detail:
Type:  Journal Article     Date:  2009-03-31
Journal Detail:
Title:  International journal of cardiology     Volume:  143     ISSN:  1874-1754     ISO Abbreviation:  Int. J. Cardiol.     Publication Date:  2010 Sep 
Date Detail:
Created Date:  2010-09-13     Completed Date:  2010-12-30     Revised Date:  -    
Medline Journal Info:
Nlm Unique ID:  8200291     Medline TA:  Int J Cardiol     Country:  Netherlands    
Other Details:
Languages:  eng     Pagination:  235-42     Citation Subset:  IM    
Copyright Information:
Copyright © 2009 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.
Affiliation:
Cardiology Division, Department of Internal Medicine, Federal University of the Triângulo Mineiro, Brazil.
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MeSH Terms
Descriptor/Qualifier:
Adult
Arrhythmias, Cardiac / diagnosis,  mortality*
Brazil / epidemiology
Chagas Cardiomyopathy / mortality*,  ultrasonography
Chronic Disease
Electrocardiography
Endemic Diseases / statistics & numerical data*
Female
Humans
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
Male
Middle Aged
Predictive Value of Tests
Prognosis
Proportional Hazards Models
Risk Factors
Comments/Corrections
Comment In:
Int J Cardiol. 2010 Nov 5;145(1):64-5; author reply 66-7   [PMID:  19428129 ]

From MEDLINE®/PubMed®, a database of the U.S. National Library of Medicine


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