Document Detail


Mortality in Portugal associated with the heat wave of August 2003: early estimation of effect, using a rapid method.
MedLine Citation:
PMID:  16088048     Owner:  NLM     Status:  MEDLINE    
Abstract/OtherAbstract:
During the first two weeks of August 2003, Portugal was affected by a severe heat wave. Following the identification in Portugal of the influence of heat waves on mortality in 1981 and 1991 (estimated excess of about 1900 and 1000 deaths respectively), the Observatorio Nacional de Saude (ONSA) - Instituto Nacional de Saude Dr. Ricardo Jorge, together with the Vigilancia Previsao e Informacao - Instituto de Meteorologia, created a surveillance system called iCARO, which has been in operation since 1999. iCARO identifies heat waves with potential influence on mortality [1]. Before the end of the 2003 heat wave, ONSA had produced a preliminary estimate of its effect on mortality. The results based on daily number of deaths from 1 June to 12 August 2003 were presented within 4 working days. Data was gathered from 31 National Civil registrars, covering the district capitals of all 18 districts of mainland Portugal, and representing approximately 40% of the mainland's mortality. The number of deaths registered in the period 30 July to 12 August was compared with the ones registered during 3 comparison periods: (in July): 1-14 July, 1-28 July, and 15-28 July). 15-28 July, the period best resembling the heat wave in time and characteristics, produced an estimation of 37.7% higher mortality rate then the value expected under normal temperature conditions. From this value, an estimate of 1316 death excess was obtained for mainland Portugal. The main purpose of this article is to present the method used to identify and assess the occurrence of an effect (excess mortality) during the heat wave of summer 2003.
Authors:
P J Nogueira; J M Falcão; M T Contreiras; E Paixão; João Brandão; I Batista
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Publication Detail:
Type:  Journal Article; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't    
Journal Detail:
Title:  Euro surveillance : bulletin Européen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin     Volume:  10     ISSN:  1560-7917     ISO Abbreviation:  Euro Surveill.     Publication Date:  2005 Jul 
Date Detail:
Created Date:  2006-09-13     Completed Date:  2006-10-03     Revised Date:  2013-05-01    
Medline Journal Info:
Nlm Unique ID:  100887452     Medline TA:  Euro Surveill     Country:  France    
Other Details:
Languages:  eng     Pagination:  150-3     Citation Subset:  IM    
Affiliation:
Observatório Nacional de Saúde, Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge, Lisboa, Portugal.
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MeSH Terms
Descriptor/Qualifier:
Epidemiologic Methods
Heat Stress Disorders / mortality*
Hot Temperature / adverse effects*
Humans
Portugal / epidemiology
Seasons
Weather*

From MEDLINE®/PubMed®, a database of the U.S. National Library of Medicine


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