| Making sense of palaeoclimate sensitivity. | |
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MedLine Citation:
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PMID: 23192145 Owner: NLM Status: MEDLINE |
Abstract/OtherAbstract:
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Many palaeoclimate studies have quantified pre-anthropogenic climate change to calculate climate sensitivity (equilibrium temperature change in response to radiative forcing change), but a lack of consistent methodologies produces a wide range of estimates and hinders comparability of results. Here we present a stricter approach, to improve intercomparison of palaeoclimate sensitivity estimates in a manner compatible with equilibrium projections for future climate change. Over the past 65 million years, this reveals a climate sensitivity (in K W(-1) m(2)) of 0.3-1.9 or 0.6-1.3 at 95% or 68% probability, respectively. The latter implies a warming of 2.2-4.8 K per doubling of atmospheric CO(2), which agrees with IPCC estimates. |
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Authors:
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Publication Detail:
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Type: Historical Article; Journal Article; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't |
Journal Detail:
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Title: Nature Volume: 491 ISSN: 1476-4687 ISO Abbreviation: Nature Publication Date: 2012 Nov |
Date Detail:
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Created Date: 2012-11-29 Completed Date: 2013-01-16 Revised Date: 2013-02-08 |
Medline Journal Info:
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Nlm Unique ID: 0410462 Medline TA: Nature Country: England |
Other Details:
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Languages: eng Pagination: 683-91 Citation Subset: IM |
Export Citation:
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APA/MLA Format Download EndNote Download BibTex |
| MeSH Terms | |
Descriptor/Qualifier:
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Calibration Carbon Dioxide / analysis Climate* Environmental Policy Feedback Global Warming / history, statistics & numerical data History, Ancient Models, Theoretical* Probability Reproducibility of Results Temperature* Time Factors |
| Chemical | |
Reg. No./Substance:
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124-38-9/Carbon Dioxide |
| Investigator | |
Investigator/Affiliation:
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E J Rohling / ; A Sluijs / ; H A Dijkstra / ; P Köhler / ; R S W van de Wal / ; A S von der Heydt / ; D J Beerling / ; A Berger / ; P K Bijl / ; M Crucifix / ; R DeConto / ; S S Drijfhout / ; A Fedorov / ; G L Foster / ; A Ganopolski / ; J Hansen / ; B Hönisch / ; H Hooghiemstra / ; M Huber / ; P Huybers / ; R Knutti / ; D W Lea / ; L J Lourens / ; D Lunt / ; V Masson-Delmotte / ; V Masson-Demotte / ; M Medina-Elizalde / ; B Otto-Bliesner / ; M Pagani / ; H Pälike / ; H Renssen / ; D L Royer / ; M Siddall / ; P Valdes / ; J C Zachos / ; R E Zeebe / |
| Comments/Corrections | |
Erratum In:
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Nature. 2013 Feb 7;494(7435):130 Note: Masson-Demotte, V [corrected to Masson-Delmotte, V] |
From MEDLINE®/PubMed®, a database of the U.S. National Library of Medicine
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