| A framework for assessing and managing risks posed by emerging diseases. | |
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MedLine Citation:
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PMID: 19878485 Owner: NLM Status: MEDLINE |
Abstract/OtherAbstract:
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Frameworks for analyzing the risks of emerging diseases and invasive species often have relied on unstructured estimates of likelihoods and consequences. We suggest a flexible alternative that offers more transparent analysis without need for additional data. Its strength lies in explicit and complementary treatment of technical and social judgments. We describe a system in which cognitive maps, Bayes nets, and multicriteria analysis can be used in tandem to structure a problem, identify exposure pathways, combine data and expert judgement to estimate the likelihoods, and assess consequences of alternative decisions. These tools may be employed in participatory settings or as part of standard regulatory practice. We illustrate this approach with an assessment of the management of an emerging disease that poses a hazard to Australia. |
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Authors:
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Terry Walshe; Mark Burgman |
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Publication Detail:
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Type: Journal Article; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Date: 2009-10-29 |
Journal Detail:
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Title: Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis Volume: 30 ISSN: 1539-6924 ISO Abbreviation: Risk Anal. Publication Date: 2010 Feb |
Date Detail:
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Created Date: 2010-05-21 Completed Date: 2010-09-10 Revised Date: - |
Medline Journal Info:
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Nlm Unique ID: 8109978 Medline TA: Risk Anal Country: United States |
Other Details:
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Languages: eng Pagination: 236-49 Citation Subset: IM |
Affiliation:
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School of Botany, The University of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. twalshe@unimelb.edu.au |
Export Citation:
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| MeSH Terms | |
Descriptor/Qualifier:
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Australia Risk Management* |
From MEDLINE®/PubMed®, a database of the U.S. National Library of Medicine
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