| Fitting hierarchical holographic modeling into the theory of scenario structuring and a resulting refinement to the quantitative definition of risk. | |
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MedLine Citation:
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PMID: 11798118 Owner: NLM Status: PubMed-not-MEDLINE |
Abstract/OtherAbstract:
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A point of view is suggested from which the Hierarchical Holographic Modeling (HHM) method can be seen as one more method within the Theory of Scenario Structuring (TSS), which is that part of Quantitative Risk Assessment having to do with the task of identifying the set of risk scenarios. Seen in this way, HHM brings strongly to our attention the fact that different methods within TSS can result in different sets of risk scenarios for the same underlying problem. Although this is not a problem practically, it is a bit awkward conceptually from the standpoint of the "set of triplets" definition of risk, in which the scenario set is part of the definition. Accordingly, the present article suggests a refinement to the set of triplets definition, which removes the specific set of scenarios, found by any of the TSS methods, from the definition of risk and casts it, instead, as an approximation to the "true" set of scenarios that is native to the problem at hand and not affected by the TSS method used. |
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Authors:
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S Kaplan; Y Y Haimes; B J Garrick |
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Publication Detail:
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Type: Journal Article |
Journal Detail:
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Title: Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis Volume: 21 ISSN: 0272-4332 ISO Abbreviation: Risk Anal. Publication Date: 2001 Oct |
Date Detail:
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Created Date: 2002-01-18 Completed Date: 2002-03-04 Revised Date: 2006-11-07 |
Medline Journal Info:
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Nlm Unique ID: 8109978 Medline TA: Risk Anal Country: United States |
Other Details:
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Languages: eng Pagination: 807-19 Citation Subset: - |
Affiliation:
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Center for Risk Management of Engineering Systems, University of Virginia, Charlottesville 22903, USA. |
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From MEDLINE®/PubMed®, a database of the U.S. National Library of Medicine
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