Document Detail

Estimates of true birth order for Scotland, 1945-1999.
MedLine Citation:
PMID:  15521419     Owner:  NLM     Status:  MEDLINE    
Over the last three decades fertility in Scotland, as measured by the total fertility rate (TFR), has moved from being higher than in England and Wales, to being lower. The annual number of births in Scotland has declined so that in the mid-1990s low fertility became the main driver of the overall population decline that Scotland has been experiencing since 1974. Analysis of fertility by birth order is instrumental in gaining an understanding of past and future fertility trends. Until the rise in births outside marriage in the 1980s data from registration could be used as a proxy for true birth order. However, because birth order is not collected for births outside marriage true birth order now has to be estimated. This article presents the first official estimates of true birth order for Scotland. The construction of these estimates based on a modified version of the method used for England and Wales is discussed. This article also presents analysis relating births by true birth order estimate to the population of women by parity on a cohort basis, and makes comparisons with England and Wales.
Jessica Chamberlain; Steve Smallwood
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Publication Detail:
Type:  Journal Article    
Journal Detail:
Title:  Population trends     Volume:  -     ISSN:  0307-4463     ISO Abbreviation:  Popul Trends     Publication Date:  2004  
Date Detail:
Created Date:  2004-11-03     Completed Date:  2005-01-06     Revised Date:  -    
Medline Journal Info:
Nlm Unique ID:  7608016     Medline TA:  Popul Trends     Country:  England    
Other Details:
Languages:  eng     Pagination:  27-42     Citation Subset:  IM    
Population and Demography Division, Office for National Statistics.
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MeSH Terms
Birth Order*
Cohort Studies
Emigration and Immigration / trends
Maternal Age
Middle Aged
Population Dynamics*
Vital Statistics

From MEDLINE®/PubMed®, a database of the U.S. National Library of Medicine

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