Document Detail

Early traces of the Second Demographic Transition in Bulgaria: a joint analysis of marital and non-marital union formation, 1960-2004.
MedLine Citation:
PMID:  18937141     Owner:  NLM     Status:  MEDLINE    
We explore trends in first-union formation in Bulgaria from 1960, using data from the national Gender and Generations Survey of 2004. We analyse jointly the transition into cohabitation and directly into marriage. The standardized marriage rate falls dramatically from the early 1980s; the corresponding rate of entry into cohabitation has already increased from the early 1960s but (surprisingly) falls moderately toward the end of our period. Cohabitation also tends to last progressively longer in more recent periods. The analysis shows that a pregnancy leads to a dramatic increase in the rate of both kinds of union formation: the increase is by a factor of almost 20 for marriage formation and about 10 for entry into cohabitation, ceteris paribus. Our findings suggest that, in Bulgaria at least, some manifestations of the Second Demographic Transition can be detected as early as the 1980s.
Jan M Hoem; Dora Kostova
Publication Detail:
Type:  Journal Article    
Journal Detail:
Title:  Population studies     Volume:  62     ISSN:  1477-4747     ISO Abbreviation:  Popul Stud (Camb)     Publication Date:  2008 Nov 
Date Detail:
Created Date:  2008-10-21     Completed Date:  2009-01-13     Revised Date:  -    
Medline Journal Info:
Nlm Unique ID:  0376427     Medline TA:  Popul Stud (Camb)     Country:  England    
Other Details:
Languages:  eng     Pagination:  259-71     Citation Subset:  IM    
Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
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MeSH Terms
Marital Status / statistics & numerical data*
Marriage / trends
Population Dynamics*
Pregnancy Rate / trends
Residence Characteristics / statistics & numerical data*
Young Adult

From MEDLINE®/PubMed®, a database of the U.S. National Library of Medicine

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