| Climate-induced population displacements in a 4°C+ world. | |
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MedLine Citation:
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PMID: 21115519 Owner: NLM Status: MEDLINE |
Abstract/OtherAbstract:
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Massive population displacements are now regularly presented as one of the most dramatic possible consequences of climate change. Current forecasts and projections show that regions that would be affected by such population movements are low-lying islands, coastal and deltaic regions, as well as sub-Saharan Africa. Such estimates, however, are usually based on a 2°C temperature rise. In the event of a 4°C+ warming, not only is it likely that climate-induced population movements will be more considerable, but also their patterns could be significantly different, as people might react differently to temperature changes that would represent a threat to their very survival. This paper puts forward the hypothesis that a greater temperature change would affect not only the magnitude of the associated population movements, but also--and above all--the characteristics of these movements, and therefore the policy responses that can address them. The paper outlines the policy evolutions that climate-induced displacements in a 4°C+ world would require. |
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Authors:
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François Gemenne |
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Publication Detail:
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Type: Journal Article |
Journal Detail:
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Title: Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences Volume: 369 ISSN: 1364-503X ISO Abbreviation: Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci Publication Date: 2011 Jan |
Date Detail:
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Created Date: 2010-11-30 Completed Date: 2011-09-06 Revised Date: 2013-04-24 |
Medline Journal Info:
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Nlm Unique ID: 101133385 Medline TA: Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci Country: England |
Other Details:
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Languages: eng Pagination: 182-95 Citation Subset: IM |
Affiliation:
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Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations (IDDRI), Sciences Po Paris, 27 Rue Saint-Guillaume, 75007 Paris, France. francois.gemenne@iddri.org |
Export Citation:
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| MeSH Terms | |
Descriptor/Qualifier:
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Animals Carbon Dioxide / chemistry* Climate Change* Conservation of Natural Resources Earth (Planet) Ecology Emigration and Immigration Global Warming* Humans Models, Theoretical Population Dynamics Temperature Water Supply |
| Chemical | |
Reg. No./Substance:
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124-38-9/Carbon Dioxide |
From MEDLINE®/PubMed®, a database of the U.S. National Library of Medicine
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