| Arctic climate tipping points. | |
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MedLine Citation:
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PMID: 22270703 Owner: NLM Status: In-Data-Review |
Abstract/OtherAbstract:
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There is widespread concern that anthropogenic global warming will trigger Arctic climate tipping points. The Arctic has a long history of natural, abrupt climate changes, which together with current observations and model projections, can help us to identify which parts of the Arctic climate system might pass future tipping points. Here the climate tipping points are defined, noting that not all of them involve bifurcations leading to irreversible change. Past abrupt climate changes in the Arctic are briefly reviewed. Then, the current behaviour of a range of Arctic systems is summarised. Looking ahead, a range of potential tipping phenomena are described. This leads to a revised and expanded list of potential Arctic climate tipping elements, whose likelihood is assessed, in terms of how much warming will be required to tip them. Finally, the available responses are considered, especially the prospects for avoiding Arctic climate tipping points. |
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Authors:
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Timothy M Lenton |
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Publication Detail:
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Type: Journal Article |
Journal Detail:
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Title: Ambio Volume: 41 ISSN: 0044-7447 ISO Abbreviation: Ambio Publication Date: 2012 Feb |
Date Detail:
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Created Date: 2012-01-24 Completed Date: - Revised Date: - |
Medline Journal Info:
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Nlm Unique ID: 0364220 Medline TA: Ambio Country: Sweden |
Other Details:
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Languages: eng Pagination: 10-22 Citation Subset: IM |
Affiliation:
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College of Life and Environmental Sciences, Hatherly Laboratories, University of Exeter, Prince of Wales Road, Exeter, EX4 4PS, UK, t.m.lenton@exeter.ac.uk. |
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From MEDLINE®/PubMed®, a database of the U.S. National Library of Medicine
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